This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract A method for evaluating the reliability of option-based price probability assessments is developed based on the calibration concept. Empirical ...
Despite the common reliance on numerical probability estimates in decision research and decision analysis, there is considerable interest in the use of verbal probability expressions to communicate ...
The calibration and metrology profession hardly seems to change. In this business, engineers treat the latest measuring instrument with suspicion until it has a proven, documented track record. Yet, ...